How soon a driverless car? You be the judge

May 5, 2017  - By

How soon will driverless cars achieve 20 percent market share in the United States?

This is the question in GPS World’s Readers Poll for May.

In 2020? 2022? 2025?

Or 2028? Maybe 2030.

Road-Driverless-WHow about 2032?  2035 or after?

Finally, the ever-popular “Other (please specify).”

Go to gpsworld.com/17maypoll and fill in your answer by May 12.

See results in the June issue.

All poll takers will be entered in a drawing for a $50 gift card.

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Meanwhile, here’s a preview of the V2V Countdown article from the May issue, introduced by Chaminda Basnyake, an engineer at Locata Corporation:

The U.S. Department of Transportation (USDOT) released a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) in December 2016 for the deployment of Dedicated Short Range Communications (DSRC)-based vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) safety applications as part of the connected vehicles (CV) and automated vehicles (AV) initiative. If all goes well, this mean a V2V deployment mandate for new passenger vehicles likely starting in 2021 and reaching all new vehicles within 2–3 years.

Standards required for V2V deployment were published in 2016 or before, including the V2V Minimum Performance Requirements SAE 2945/1, leading the way for commercial product development. The USDOT, which has been the catalyst behind V2V industry R&D starting from the automaker collaboration CAMP (Crash Avoidance Metrix Partnership) in 2001, is conducting CV Pilot programs in New York, Wyoming and Florida. These offer the opportunity for state DOTs, vendors and all other stakeholders to test the technology in real-life scenarios.

Automotive OEMs have been developing this technology for more than a decade, and the NPRM is the beginning of a race toward integrating V2V to production vehicles. Deploying V2V technology requires the close cooperation of OEMs, their suppliers and many other stakeholders.

This article captures the views of major players in the CV marketplace on expected deployment timelines, remaining challenges such as reliable positioning technology, integration with existing systems, and the implications on AV technology.

About the Author:

GPS World covers all aspects of the GPS and GNSS industry for our readers. To submit news, please send your release to gpsworld@gpsworld.com.

3 Comments on "How soon a driverless car? You be the judge"

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  1. Oscar L. Colombo says:

    I am so sorry to see so many talented people and so much wealth being spent on such a pointless goose chase.
    While I see some practical applications of autonomous vehicles for moving heavy loads within warehouses, seaport container terminals and other restricted and closely monitored environments, the idea of their widespread use for commuting within streets and freeways is a dangerous pipedream that will collapse the moment a few catastrophic accidents are attributed to the use of self-driven vehicles: elected politicians will simply rush to ban them. They will never stand for the autonomous vehicle’s safety evolution to happen like that of railroads: gradually and prompted at every step by a series of terrible accidents. Add to that the “interconnecting” features, and we have a perfect setup for malicious parties to create havoc by hacking the system.
    Who can possibly have thought this is a good idea worth so much time, money and effort as being put into it? Certainly not very smart people, or truly competent business leaders.
    Fools rush where angels fear to thread.

  2. Morgan says:

    Driverless car is a big gream for people to become more comfortable with cars. In an automobile, ball joints constitute important auto parts. Ball Joints are spherical bearings that connect the control arms to the steering knuckles. Ball joint consists of a bearing stud and socket enclosed in a casing. These parts are made of steel. The bearing stud is narrow and fits into a tapered hole in the steering knuckle. A protected encasing prevents dirt from getting into the joint assembly. mainly, this is a like rubber-boot that permits movement and expansion of lubricant in an automobile. So, it is advised to get good quality ball-joints for your car and change it when necessary. We have some important guide for this.

  3. Morgan says:

    Driverless car is a big gream for the people to become more comfortable with cars. In an automobile, ball joints constitute important auto parts. Ball Joints are spherical bearings that connect the control arms to the steering knuckles. Ball joint consists of a bearing stud and socket enclosed in a casing. These parts are made of steel. The bearing stud is narrow and fits into a tapered hole in the steering knuckle. A protected encasing prevents dirt from getting into the joint assembly. mainly, this is a like rubber-boot that permits movement and expansion of lubricant in an automobile. So, it is advised to get good quality ball-joints for your car and change it when necessary. We have some important guide for this.